Raise Our Fair Value for Saab to SEK 436 on Structural Cash Flow Upside From Dynamics Expansion

With approximately 95% of its revenue from the defense sector, Saab is well positioned to capitalize on the expected increase in European defense budgets to at least 2% of GDP due to the Russia-Ukraine conflict. This increase, coupled with EU initiatives to enhance defense capabilities through resource pooling and procurement coordination, presents significant growth opportunities for the company. Saab should realize increased demand for its support weapons, sensor systems, airborne early warning, and surface radar systems, with expectations for further growth as European nations replenish their military inventories.