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Company Report

American Express has enjoyed several years of accelerated growth as its new card acquisition and loan growth has significantly outpaced peers'. The company has historically been a payment network first and lender second. While this has not changed—it still only gets around 25% of its revenue from net interest income—its shift toward a younger cardholder base and more lending features on its cards drove 26.1% compound annual growth in net interest income from 2021 to 2024, providing a major tailwind to overall growth. We expect this growth to decelerate significantly, as it was driven by specific strategic and product shifts that have run their course. As a case in point, net interest income increased 12% in 2025—still a strong result but well below the previous three-year average.
Company Report

American Express has enjoyed several years of accelerated growth as its new card acquisition and loan growth has significantly outpaced peers'. The company has historically been a payment network first and lender second. While this has not changed—it still only gets around 25% of its revenue from net interest income—its shift toward a younger cardholder base and more lending features on its cards drove 26.1% compound annual growth in net interest income from 2021 to 2024, providing a major tailwind to overall growth. We expect this growth to decelerate significantly, as it was driven by specific strategic and product shifts that have run their course. As a case in point, net interest income increased 12% in 2025—still a strong result but well below the previous three-year average.
Company Report

American Express has enjoyed several years of accelerated growth as its new card acquisition and loan growth has significantly outpaced peers'. The company has historically been a payment network first and lender second. While this has not changed—it still only gets around 25% of its revenue from net interest income—its shift toward a younger cardholder base and more lending features on its cards drove 26.1% compound annual growth in net interest income from 2021 to 2024, providing a major tailwind to overall growth. We expect this growth to decelerate significantly, as it was driven by specific strategic and product shifts that have run their course. As a case in point, net interest income increased 12% in 2025—still a strong result but well below the previous three-year average.
Company Report

American Express has enjoyed several years of accelerated growth as its new card acquisition and loan growth has significantly outpaced peers'. The company has historically been a payment network first and lender second. While this has not changed—it still only gets around 25% of its revenue from net interest income—its shift toward a younger cardholder base and more lending features on its cards drove 26.1% compound annual growth in net interest income from 2021 to 2024, providing a major tailwind to overall growth. We expect this growth to decelerate significantly in 2025 and on, as it was driven by specific strategic and product shifts that have run their course. As a case in point, net interest income increased 12% in 2025—still a strong result but well below the previous three-year average.
Company Report

American Express has enjoyed several years of accelerated growth as its new card acquisition and loan growth has significantly outpaced peers'. The company has historically been a payment network first and lender second. While this has not changed—it still only gets around 25% of its revenue from net interest income—its shift toward a younger cardholder base and more lending features on its cards drove 26.1% compound annual growth in net interest income from 2021 to 2024, providing a major tailwind to overall growth. We expect this growth to decelerate significantly in 2025 and on, as it was driven by specific strategic and product shifts that have run their course. As a case in point, net interest income increased 12% in 2025—still a strong result but well below the previous three-year average.
Stock Analyst Note

Shares of consumer finance names such as Capital One, American Express, and Affirm traded between 7% and 8% lower intraday on Feb. 23, likely on concerns that AI disruption could lead to future layoffs and structurally higher unemployment, increasing credit costs and lowering payment volume.
Company Report

American Express has enjoyed several years of accelerated growth as its new card acquisition and loan growth has significantly outpaced peers'. The company has historically been a payment network first and lender second. While this has not changed—it still only gets around 25% of its revenue from net interest income—its shift toward a younger cardholder base and more lending features on its cards drove 26.1% compound annual growth in net interest income from 2021 to 2024, providing a major tailwind to overall growth. We expect this growth to decelerate significantly in 2025 and on, as it was driven by specific strategic and product shifts that have run their course. As a case in point, net interest income increased 12% in 2025—still a strong result but well below the previous three-year average.
Company Report

American Express has enjoyed several years of accelerated growth as its new card acquisition and loan growth has significantly outpaced peers'. The company has historically been a payment network first and lender second. While this has not changed—it still only gets around 25% of its revenue from net interest income—its shift toward a younger cardholder base and more lending features on its cards drove 26.1% compound annual growth in net interest income from 2021 to 2024, providing a major tailwind to overall growth. We expect this growth to decelerate significantly in 2025 and on, as it was driven by specific strategic and product shifts that have run their course. As a case in point, net interest income increased 12% in the first nine months of 2025—still a strong result but well below the three-year average.
Company Report

American Express has enjoyed several years of accelerated growth as its new card acquisition and loan growth has significantly outpaced peers'. The company has historically been a payment network first and lender second. While this has not changed—it still only gets around 25% of its revenue from net interest income—its shift toward a younger cardholder base and more lending features on its cards drove 26.1% compound annual growth in net interest income from 2021 to 2024, providing a major tailwind to overall growth. We expect this growth to decelerate significantly in 2025 and on, as it was driven by specific strategic and product shifts that have run their course. As a case in point, net interest income increased 12% in the first nine months of 2025—still a strong result but well below the three-year average.
Stock Analyst Note

American Express reported strong second-quarter results. Revenue increased 9% from last year to $17.9 billion, and diluted earnings per share rose an impressive 17%, when adjusted for last year's sale of Accertify, to $4.08. These results translated to a strong return on average equity of 36.3%.
Company Report

American Express has enjoyed several years of accelerated growth as its new card acquisition and loan growth has significantly outpaced peers'. The company has historically been a payment network first and lender second. While this has not changed and it still only gets around 25% of its revenue from net interest income, its shift toward a younger cardholder base and more lending features on its cards drove a 26.1% compound annual growth rate in net interest income from 2021 to 2024, providing a major tailwind to overall growth. We expect this growth to decelerate significantly in 2025 and on, as it was driven by specific strategic and product shifts that have run their course. As a case in point, net interest income increased 11% in the first quarter of 2025—still a strong result but well below the three-year average.
Company Report

American Express has enjoyed several years of accelerated growth as its new card acquisition and loan growth has significantly outpaced peers'. The company has historically been a payment network first and lender second. While this has not changed and it still only gets around 25% of its revenue from net interest income, its shift toward a younger cardholder base and more lending features on its cards has driven a 26.1% compound annual growth rate in net interest income over the last three years, providing a major tailwind to overall growth. We expect this growth to decelerate significantly in 2025 and on, as it was driven by specific strategic and product shifts that have run their course. As a case in point, net interest income increased 12% in the fourth quarter of 2024—still a strong result but well below the three-year average.

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