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Company Report

Kingspan is a global leader in high-performance insulation and building envelope solutions. We think it’s well positioned to benefit from secular tailwinds as building energy efficiency standards rise globally; 11% of global greenhouse gas emissions are from embodied carbon, specifically from building materials and construction. Further, as energy costs rise, there is a growing demand for products with thermal efficiency that exceeds minimum performance requirements, which is where Kingspan primarily operates.
Company Report

Kingspan is a global leader in high-performance insulation and building envelope solutions. We think it’s well positioned to benefit from secular tailwinds as building energy efficiency standards rise globally; 11% of global greenhouse gas emissions are from embodied carbon, specifically from building materials and construction. Further, as energy costs rise, there is a growing demand for products with thermal efficiency that exceeds minimum performance requirements, which is where Kingspan primarily operates.
Company Report

Kingspan is a global leader in high-performance insulation and building envelope solutions. We think it’s well positioned to benefit from secular tailwinds as building energy efficiency standards rise globally; 11% of global greenhouse gas emissions are from embodied carbon, specifically from building materials and construction. Further, as energy costs rise, there is a growing demand for products with thermal efficiency that exceeds minimum performance requirements, which is where Kingspan primarily operates.
Company Report

Kingspan is a global leader in high-performance insulation and building envelope solutions. We think it’s well positioned to benefit from secular tailwinds as building energy efficiency standards rise globally; 11% of global greenhouse gas emissions are from embodied carbon, specifically from building materials and construction. Further, as energy costs rise, there is a growing demand for products with thermal efficiency that exceeds minimum performance requirements, which is where Kingspan primarily operates.
Company Report

Kingspan is a global leader in high-performance insulation and building envelope solutions. We think it’s well positioned to benefit from secular tailwinds as building energy efficiency standards rise globally; 11% of global greenhouse gas emissions are from embodied carbon, specifically from building materials and construction. Further, as energy costs rise, there is a growing demand for products with thermal efficiency that exceeds minimum performance requirements, which is where Kingspan primarily operates.
Stock Analyst Note

Kingspan’s first-quarter update saw 2025 sales rise 9% year on year to EUR 2.1 billion; like-for-like growth was only modest, but order volumes improved, and the US backlog reached an all-time high. Roofing and waterproofing grew 55% with the Nordic acquisition, while data solutions advanced 37%.
Stock Analyst Note

No-moat Kingspan’s performance in the second half of 2024 proved stronger than we’d anticipated with full-year 2024 revenue of EUR 8.6 billion and EBITA of EUR 907 million, about 2% and 5% ahead of our estimates, respectively. Stronger second-half sales for the group’s smaller, but growing data solutions segment proved stronger than we’d anticipated. Moreover, the group’s full-year 2024 EBITA margin of 10.5% came in about 30 basis points ahead of our forecast, with a materially stronger second-half EBITA margin for the light, air, and water segment than we’d expected being the major contributor to the group EBITA margin’s strength. Nonetheless, the late 2024 performance in Kingspan’s core insulation businesses—which account for some 75% of group EBITA—broadly tracked our expectations. Investors cheered the strong finish to 2024, with shares up some 10% in early trade.
Stock Analyst Note

Glimpses of cyclical earnings relief were apparent in Kingspan’s November trading update, leading us to upgrade our near-term estimates for the no-moat company. Sales in the first nine months of 2024 fell 2% for Kingspan’s insulation panels division—which accounts for approximately 65% of group operating profit—implying sequential improvement in volume during the third quarter. The insulation boards segment also exhibited sequential improvement, with organic sales falling 10% in the third quarter and comparing favorably with the approximately 16% organic decline in the prior quarter. Ostensibly, demand conditions in global thermal insulation markets are turning a corner, responding somewhat faster than we’d anticipated to the easing of financial conditions in recent months.
Company Report

We think Kingspan, a leading supplier of insulation products and systems, is well positioned to benefit from secular tailwinds in the form of built environment energy efficiency standards that are on the rise globally. Kingspan is a global business with over 210 manufacturing sites spread across more than 80 countries. Its brands resonate positively with risk-averse architects and other specifiers. Kingspan is acquisitive, having allocated significant capital to merger and acquisition targets over the preceding decade to broaden its geographic reach, supplementing organic investment in its manufacturing footprint. Acquisitions in recent years have also focused on expanding the company's product scope beyond insulation. As a consequence, Kingspan offers a comprehensive suite of products and systems for the broader building envelope—which represents the front line in the battle to reduce a building’s greenhouse gas emissions—that also includes flooring, roofing, and waterproofing systems.
Stock Analyst Note

Kingspan’s weak first-half profit margin performance underwhelmed us, with competitive rivalry in well-contested thermal insulation markets contributing to a 60-basis-point weakening in the group’s EBIT-A margin to 10.1%. Kingspan’s first-half profit margin showing struck us as particularly weak given the volume growth and positive sales mix shift enjoyed by its insulated panels business. We think the soft profit margin outcome amid still weak demand in construction markets highlights the highly competitive nature of thermal insulation product markets, underscoring our no moat rating for Kingspan. We’ve lowered our full-year 2024 EBIT-A forecast by 10% to EUR 831 million to reflect the stiffer year-to-date price competition than we’d previously factored. Nonetheless, better-than-anticipated margin progression in Kingspan’s fledgling data and flooring, and roofing and waterproofing segments leads us to nudge our fair value estimate up by 3% to EUR 63. Kingspan shares are down some 2% in early trade, but continue to trade at a hefty 30% premium relative to our revised valuation.
Company Report

Kingspan Group is a leading supplier of insulation products and systems, which we think is well positioned to benefit from secular tailwinds in the form of built environment energy efficiency standards that are on the rise globally. Today, Kingspan is a global business with over 210 manufacturing sites spread across more than 80 countries. Kingspan’s brands resonate positively with risk-averse architects and other specifiers. Kingspan is acquisitive, having allocated significant capital to merger and acquisition targets over the preceding decade to broaden its geographic reach, supplementing organic investment in its manufacturing footprint. Acquisitions in recent years have also focused on expanding Kingspan’s product scope beyond insulation. As a consequence, Kingspan offers a comprehensive suite of products and systems for the broader building envelope—which represents the frontline in the battle to reduce a building’s greenhouse gas emissions—which also includes flooring, roofing, and waterproofing systems.
Stock Analyst Note

Price deflation in thermal insulation product markets has continued in early 2024 as suppliers pass through significantly lower raw materials prices to customers. Consequently, first-quarter organic sales fell for Kingspan’s insulation panels and insulation boards divisions—which together account for approximately 80% of group EBIT—contracting by 9% and 14%, respectively. The first-quarter contraction in selling prices masked modest volume growth for both the insulation panel and insulation board businesses—a resilient outcome given presently soft construction sector conditions.
Stock Analyst Note

No-moat Kingspan released fourth-quarter 2023 results that tracked our expectations, delivering full-year 2023 EBITA of EUR 877 million, up 7% year on year on a constant-currency basis, largely aligning with our full-year forecast. In 2023, globally weakened construction activity and price deflation—as raw material prices declined—drove respective full-year sales declines of 9% and 8% for Kingspan’s insulation panels and insulation board segments. The two segments are Kingspan’s largest businesses, together accounting for about 85% of group EBIT. Notwithstanding, Kingspan’s profit margins firmed, with full-year 2023 EBITA margin increasing 80 basis points to 10.8%, as profit margins for the insulation panels segment, and Kingspan’s smaller light, air and water, roofing and waterproofing, and data and flooring segments widened. Of note, the insulation panel segment's profit margin benefited from positive sales mix shift—toward Kingspan’s more innovative insulation product range, including QuadCore, which now accounts for 18% of insulated panel volumes. Consequently, the insulation panel segment’s EBITA margin rose—by 1.6 percentage points year on year to 12.2%—despite the cyclical challenges presented by otherwise weak construction activity.

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