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What’s the Difference Between the CPI and PCE Indexes?

Inflation is top of mind for investors, but there’s more than one way to measure consumer prices.

Actually, AI Is Boosting Interest Rates, Not Inflation

The conventional wisdom misses the role of the Fed.

What’s Happening in the Markets This Week

Jobs, PCE inflation, earnings from Nike, and more.

Ask the Analyst: Is Now a Bad Time to Invest New Money?

Think about your goal and time horizon when deciding whether to invest during an uncertain economic environment.

What’s Ahead in 2027 and Beyond for Inflation, Fed Rate Cuts, and More

Rate hikes this year will give way to large rate cuts in 2027 and 2028.

4 Reasons to Think US Inflation Will Come Back Down

Here’s why we expect US inflation to fall in line with the Fed’s 2% target over 2028-30.

Warsh Pounds the Table on Inflation Fight, but We See Rate Cuts in 2027

The Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the first time in three years.

With Inflation Elevated, Federal Reserve Hikes Interest Rates

Price pressures have been running hotter than the Fed’s target for more than five years.

AI Has Yet to Bite the Job Market

That’s kept the labor market in good shape, helping put Fed interest rate hikes back on the agenda.

Warsh’s Communications Policy Faces Its First Big Test

With the Federal Reserve widely expected to raise interest rates Wednesday, Warsh’s minimalist approach to discussing rate decisions will be in the spotlight.

Why the US Treasury Is Battling the Bond Market and What Investors Can Do About It

Scott Bessent’s Treasury gambit is about more than interest rates.

August CPI Report Highlights Stubbornly High Inflation

Some of last month’s major inflation drivers could be one-offs, but economists say energy price spillover remains a risk.

Why the Odds of a Fed Interest Rate Hike Just Shot Higher

Sticky inflation data is strengthening the case for tighter policy.

Bank of Japan Outlook: Rate Hike Likely to Support Yen

We see the Bank of Japan on a gradual path toward higher interest rates to defend the yen.

August CPI Report Shows Inflation at a 3.4% Annual Rate, Above Forecasts

Core CPI at a 2.4% annual rate.

ECB Hikes Rates and Raises Both Inflation and Growth Forecasts

While the increase was expected, the central bank’s comments and updated forecasts have boosted expectations for further rate hikes this year.

August CPI Seen Cooling, but Will It Prevent a Fed Rate Hike?

Forecasts center on moderating inflation, but a hotter-than-expected CPI report could trigger the first interest rate hike since 2023.

Don’t Panic About a Bond Market Selloff. It Could Be a Sign of Economic Strength

But if you are worried about the US debt, there may be a better route than gold’s ‘debasement’ trade.

Strong August Jobs Report Sharpens Fed’s Focus on Inflation

New data showed the labor market on solid footing, led by gains in leisure and hospitality.

August US Jobs Report: 162,000 Rise in Payrolls, Above Forecasts

Unemployment rate held steady at 4.1%.

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