Economy
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Economic Topics
Inflation
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August PCE Report: PCE Inflation Index Up 3.4%, Softer Than Expected
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Why the Bond Market Sold Off in Q3—Will the Losses Continue in Q4?
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What’s the Difference Between the CPI and PCE Indexes?
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Actually, AI Is Boosting Interest Rates, Not Inflation
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Smart Investor: The Fund Managers Dialing Back Risk, Rieder on Inflation, and Questionable Tokens
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What’s Happening in the Markets This Week
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Why Stock Investors Need to Watch US Treasury Yields
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Inflation Is Peaking and Will Fall, BlackRock’s Rieder Says. Here’s Why
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What’s Ahead in 2027 and Beyond for Inflation, Fed Rate Cuts, and More
Interest Rates
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What’s Happening in the Markets This Week
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Soft September Jobs Report Has Market Dialing Back Calls for Fed Rate Hike
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7 Charts on Q3 Market Highlights: Stocks Tread Water While the Bond Market Shudders
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Why the Bond Market Sold Off in Q3—Will the Losses Continue in Q4?
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4 Key Questions for Investors to Ask at the Start of Q4
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Actually, AI Is Boosting Interest Rates, Not Inflation
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Morningstar DBRS: Rising Rates to Hit Private Corporate Credit First and Hardest
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Higher Rates Have These Top Stock Fund Managers Taking a More Defensive Stance
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Why Stock Investors Need to Watch US Treasury Yields
Employment
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Soft September Jobs Report Has Market Dialing Back Calls for Fed Rate Hike
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September US Jobs Report: 29,000 Rise in Payrolls, Softer Than Expected
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September Jobs Report Seen Showing Hiring Plateau After August Surge
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What’s Happening in the Markets This Week
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AI Has Yet to Bite the Job Market
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Markets Brief: About That Stock Market Broadening—Plus, the Robots Are Coming
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Strong August Jobs Report Sharpens Fed’s Focus on Inflation
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August US Jobs Report: 162,000 Rise in Payrolls, Above Forecasts
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August Jobs Report Seen Showing Modest Bounce in a Slow Hiring Market
More in Economy
What’s the Difference Between the CPI and PCE Indexes?
Inflation is top of mind for investors, but there’s more than one way to measure consumer prices.
Actually, AI Is Boosting Interest Rates, Not Inflation
The conventional wisdom misses the role of the Fed.
What’s Happening in the Markets This Week
Jobs, PCE inflation, earnings from Nike, and more.
Ask the Analyst: Is Now a Bad Time to Invest New Money?
Think about your goal and time horizon when deciding whether to invest during an uncertain economic environment.
What’s Ahead in 2027 and Beyond for Inflation, Fed Rate Cuts, and More
Rate hikes this year will give way to large rate cuts in 2027 and 2028.
4 Reasons to Think US Inflation Will Come Back Down
Here’s why we expect US inflation to fall in line with the Fed’s 2% target over 2028-30.
Warsh Pounds the Table on Inflation Fight, but We See Rate Cuts in 2027
The Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the first time in three years.
With Inflation Elevated, Federal Reserve Hikes Interest Rates
Price pressures have been running hotter than the Fed’s target for more than five years.
AI Has Yet to Bite the Job Market
That’s kept the labor market in good shape, helping put Fed interest rate hikes back on the agenda.
Warsh’s Communications Policy Faces Its First Big Test
With the Federal Reserve widely expected to raise interest rates Wednesday, Warsh’s minimalist approach to discussing rate decisions will be in the spotlight.
Why the US Treasury Is Battling the Bond Market and What Investors Can Do About It
Scott Bessent’s Treasury gambit is about more than interest rates.
August CPI Report Highlights Stubbornly High Inflation
Some of last month’s major inflation drivers could be one-offs, but economists say energy price spillover remains a risk.
Why the Odds of a Fed Interest Rate Hike Just Shot Higher
Sticky inflation data is strengthening the case for tighter policy.
Bank of Japan Outlook: Rate Hike Likely to Support Yen
We see the Bank of Japan on a gradual path toward higher interest rates to defend the yen.
August CPI Report Shows Inflation at a 3.4% Annual Rate, Above Forecasts
Core CPI at a 2.4% annual rate.
ECB Hikes Rates and Raises Both Inflation and Growth Forecasts
While the increase was expected, the central bank’s comments and updated forecasts have boosted expectations for further rate hikes this year.
August CPI Seen Cooling, but Will It Prevent a Fed Rate Hike?
Forecasts center on moderating inflation, but a hotter-than-expected CPI report could trigger the first interest rate hike since 2023.
Don’t Panic About a Bond Market Selloff. It Could Be a Sign of Economic Strength
But if you are worried about the US debt, there may be a better route than gold’s ‘debasement’ trade.
Strong August Jobs Report Sharpens Fed’s Focus on Inflation
New data showed the labor market on solid footing, led by gains in leisure and hospitality.
August US Jobs Report: 162,000 Rise in Payrolls, Above Forecasts
Unemployment rate held steady at 4.1%.