McCormick reported 1.9% organic sales growth on higher prices in its fiscal third quarter. This came alongside a 70-basis-point increase in adjusted gross margin to 17.7%, as cost savings offset inflation in inputs and freight costs.
We see the merits of McCormick's technology modernization effort (buoying future sales growth), as it is replacing a system that has been in place since the early 2000s, when the firm was less than half the size it is now.
Bears
Cost pressures (particularly labor, transportation, and tariffs) have yet to subside, capping near-term profits.
In its 135-plus-year history, McCormick has become the leading global manufacturer of spices, herbs, extracts, seasonings, and other flavorings. In addition to its namesake brand, the firm's portfolio includes Old Bay, Zatarain's, Thai Kitchen, Frank's RedHot, French's, and Cholula. This mix will be complemented by the pending addition of Unilever's food brands, primarily Knorr cooking aids and Hellmann's mayonnaise. After the deal close, the combined business is slated to generate 70% of sales from consumers and 30% from restaurants and other packaged food and beverage manufacturers. Around 40% of sales are slated to come from faster-growing emerging markets, with Europe (23%) and North America (36%) accounting for the remainder.