China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd 02319

Morningstar Rating
HK$17.58 −0.26 (1.46%)
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Company Report

Transfer Coverage of Mengniu With No-Moat Rating and HKD 22 Fair Value Estimate

Mengniu is China's second-largest dairy producer, after Yili. Revenue more than doubled in the decade to 2023 on rising Chinese dairy consumption but fell in 2024 and 2025 amid weak consumer demand. Despite recent headwinds, we remain optimistic about Mengniu’s long-term growth outlook given China’s dairy consumption per capita remains well below the global average and that of many Asian neighbors.

Price vs Fair Value

02319 is trading at a LOCK|?F$l@%< premium.
Price
HK$17.58
Fair Value
>>W
Uncertainty
LOCK|PT?$
1-Star Price
LOCK|.^Y
5-Star Price
LOCK|.BB
Economic Moat
LOCK|TSy
Capital Allocation
LOCK|HX

Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

Strong recovery in product prices boost Mengniu’s liquid dairy sales.

Bears

Mengniu loses market share to regional players as consumers shift to fresh milk.

Trading Information

Previous Close Price
HK$17.84
Day Range
HK$17.08–17.63
52-Week Range
HK$13.88–19.67
Bid/Ask
HK$17.58 / HK$17.59
Shares Outstanding
3.86B
Market Cap
HK$67.93B
Volume/Avg
13M / 21M

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
26.25
Price/Sales
0.73
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
3.40%
Dividend Yield (Forward)
3.40%
Dividend Payment Schedule
Jun
Total Yield
4.19%

Company Profile

China Mengniu Dairy is China’s second-largest dairy producer by market share. The company produces a wide range of dairy products, including liquid milk, yogurt, ice cream, infant milk formula, and cheese. Liquid milk, composed of milk, milk beverages, and yogurt, contributed roughly 80% of Mengniu’s revenue in 2024. Flagship lineups include Deluxe, Mengniu Pure Milk, Just Yoghurt, and Yoyi C. Mengniu also owns two infant formula brands, Yashili and Bellamy, as well as Milkground, a cheese brand.
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Industry
Packaged Foods
Stock Style Box
Large Core
Total Number of Employees
38,000

Competitors

Valuation

Metric
02319
600887
GIS
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
26.2514.539.21
Price/Book Value
1.473.222.27
Price/Sales
0.731.460.93
Price/Cash Flow
7.379.965.95
Price/Earnings
02319
600887
GIS

Financial Strength

Metric
02319
600887
GIS
Quick Ratio
0.770.220.32
Current Ratio
0.880.620.70
Interest Coverage
4.528.32−0.28
Quick Ratio
02319
600887
GIS

Profitability

Metric
02319
600887
GIS
Return on Assets (Normalized)
5.19%6.31%5.83%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
12.66%17.90%21.45%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
6.81%7.84%10.10%
Return on Assets
02319
600887
GIS

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